I personally prefer ppp numbers, but unfortunately they are extremely unreliable. Whatever they do, they end up with terrible estimates especially they underestimate Japan, China but overestimate Russia and Turkey.
As long as the ANC is in charge, South Africa will continously have issues. Nation's Spear and EFF are even worse parties to work with.
Democratic Alliance needs to outright win an election and even then I think many South Africans would rather be poor but ruled under ANC than be richer under a potential white person ruling them.
Or to put it in a nicer way, many people vote for ANC out of dignity, liberation pride, and identity rather than vote for effective governance that the DA has continously demonstrated ruling the Western Cape province.
Let me ask you about Ethyopia. I've been following and reading about its actual situation and the ethnic/power issues, and I've been close to think that there is a real chance of future conflict inside the country (I mean: a huge one). The attempt of nation-building a Pan-Ethyop identity is in troubles, and the fragile State that exists may erosionate even more. Alll this just when they made the Renaissance Dam and make an offensive move in order to acces to the ocean. ¿What you think?
Thanks in advance and sorry for being out of the topic, but this question come to my mind when I read about the country.
I think there will be conflicts like what we saw in Tigray and Amhara right now. But I dont see it eroding the nation state. Ethiopia has been here before during the communist Derg when the whole country made militia factions that hated the central government.
I don't think your forecast for Bangladesh will pan out.
i don't think so either. Do you have any other insights on why?
Power generation is heavily dependent on LNG imports + direct power imports from India. Both are at risk.
I personally prefer ppp numbers, but unfortunately they are extremely unreliable. Whatever they do, they end up with terrible estimates especially they underestimate Japan, China but overestimate Russia and Turkey.
What makes a country over or underestimated to you?
Is South Africa just bound for continued stagnation? I expect that but was hoping you would bring cause for optimism.
As long as the ANC is in charge, South Africa will continously have issues. Nation's Spear and EFF are even worse parties to work with.
Democratic Alliance needs to outright win an election and even then I think many South Africans would rather be poor but ruled under ANC than be richer under a potential white person ruling them.
Or to put it in a nicer way, many people vote for ANC out of dignity, liberation pride, and identity rather than vote for effective governance that the DA has continously demonstrated ruling the Western Cape province.
Hi, Yaw.
Let me ask you about Ethyopia. I've been following and reading about its actual situation and the ethnic/power issues, and I've been close to think that there is a real chance of future conflict inside the country (I mean: a huge one). The attempt of nation-building a Pan-Ethyop identity is in troubles, and the fragile State that exists may erosionate even more. Alll this just when they made the Renaissance Dam and make an offensive move in order to acces to the ocean. ¿What you think?
Thanks in advance and sorry for being out of the topic, but this question come to my mind when I read about the country.
I think there will be conflicts like what we saw in Tigray and Amhara right now. But I dont see it eroding the nation state. Ethiopia has been here before during the communist Derg when the whole country made militia factions that hated the central government.
How about Guyana?
Hi!
I mentioned Guyana, in my last year's piece on my projections:
https://yawboadu.substack.com/p/evaluating-my-growth-predictions